Burundi vs Tunisia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.5%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
11.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
12.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
59.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
18.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
28.1%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
8.5%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
BFA
2 - 0
BDI
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
BDI
1 - 0
SYC
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2008 |
BDI
0 - 0
RWA
25%
24%
52%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2007 |
BDI
0 - 2
UGA
21%
23%
56%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2007 |
SDN
2 - 1
BDI
69%
19%
13%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Tunisia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
SYC
0 - 2
TUN
9%
20%
70%
|
86 | 45 | 41 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
TUN
1 - 2
BFA
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 63 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2008 |
TUN
2 - 0
CIV
40%
28%
32%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2008 |
TUN
2 - 3
CMR
36%
26%
37%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2008 |
TUN
0 - 0
ANG
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | -1 |