Burundi vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
25.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
TAN
2 - 1
BDI
41%
26%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2017 |
BDI
1 - 0
DJI
70%
18%
12%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BDI
7 - 0
DJI
69%
19%
13%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
NIG
0 - 0
BDI
40%
26%
34%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
BDI
0 - 2
SEN
13%
23%
64%
|
56 | 82 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
SSD
2 - 0
SOM
68%
19%
14%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
SOM
1 - 2
SSD
21%
22%
58%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
SSD
6 - 0
DJI
62%
20%
18%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
DJI
2 - 0
SSD
17%
19%
64%
|
49 | 30 | 19 | -4 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
EQG
4 - 0
SSD
53%
24%
24%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |