Burundi vs Mauritania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.6%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
GAB
0 - 0
BDI
68%
20%
12%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
ZIM
1 - 0
BDI
64%
22%
15%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2012 |
BDI
2 - 1
ZIM
16%
23%
61%
|
51 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2011 |
BDI
0 - 2
SDN
22%
27%
50%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2011 |
BDI
1 - 0
UGA
14%
22%
64%
|
50 | 74 | 24 | +2 |
Matches
Mauritania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2014 |
COD
1 - 0
MTN
82%
13%
6%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2014 |
UGA
3 - 0
MTN
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2013 |
OMA
0 - 0
MTN
80%
15%
5%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
CAN
0 - 1
MTN
80%
15%
5%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | +2 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CAN
0 - 0
MTN
80%
15%
5%
|
48 | 78 | 30 | 0 |