Burundi vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
53.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
BDI
3 - 2
GAM
23%
24%
53%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
CMR
3 - 0
BDI
72%
20%
8%
|
55 | 81 | 26 | -1 |
| 20 Jun. 2023 |
BDI
3 - 2
NAM
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2023 |
IDN
2 - 2
BDI
60%
21%
19%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
IDN
3 - 1
BDI
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2023 |
GAB
2 - 1
KEN
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
GUI
1 - 1
GAB
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MTN
2 - 1
GAB
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
GAB
0 - 2
COD
33%
27%
40%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
SDN
1 - 0
GAB
27%
25%
49%
|
68 | 57 | 11 | -1 |