Burundi vs Burkina Faso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
54.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
SYC
1 - 2
BDI
39%
24%
37%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
TUN
2 - 1
BDI
78%
16%
6%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
BDI
0 - 1
TUN
15%
26%
59%
|
52 | 86 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
BFA
2 - 0
BDI
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
BDI
1 - 0
SYC
53%
24%
23%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
BFA
0 - 0
TUN
23%
27%
49%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2008 |
BHR
3 - 1
BFA
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2008 |
BFA
4 - 1
SYC
74%
16%
9%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2008 |
SYC
2 - 3
BFA
19%
22%
59%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2008 |
BFA
2 - 0
BDI
63%
21%
16%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | +1 |