WC Qual. Africa 1ra Ronda Final
Global 2-3
Burundi vs Lesotho analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
LSO
1 - 0
BDI
39%
26%
36%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CIV
2 - 1
BDI
85%
11%
4%
|
51 | 87 | 36 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
BDI
1 - 1
BEN
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
BDI
3 - 1
RWA
29%
26%
45%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
RWA
3 - 1
BDI
50%
25%
26%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lesotho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
LSO
1 - 0
BDI
39%
26%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LSO
0 - 3
COD
16%
22%
62%
|
50 | 70 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2011 |
NAM
0 - 0
LSO
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2011 |
LSO
0 - 1
SWZ
49%
24%
26%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
LSO
0 - 0
SWZ
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |