Burkina Faso vs Uganda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
32.7%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2004 |
ALG
2 - 2
BFA
70%
19%
11%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
RSA
2 - 0
BFA
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
COD
3 - 2
BFA
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
BFA
4 - 2
BEN
60%
21%
19%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
BFA
1 - 0
GHA
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Uganda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
ZIM
2 - 0
UGA
55%
25%
20%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2004 |
KEN
4 - 1
UGA
45%
25%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2004 |
UGA
1 - 2
RWA
63%
21%
17%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Aug. 2004 |
UGA
1 - 1
KEN
53%
24%
24%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
UGA
1 - 1
GHA
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |