Burkina Faso vs Nigeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.2%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
47.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NGA
2 - 0
BFA
76%
17%
8%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
BFA
1 - 4
MLI
31%
25%
44%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
BFA
31%
28%
42%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2015 |
BFA
2 - 0
COM
87%
10%
3%
|
65 | 9 | 56 | +1 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
BFA
2 - 3
CMR
21%
27%
52%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Nigeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NGA
2 - 0
BFA
76%
17%
8%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
NGA
3 - 0
CMR
50%
25%
25%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2015 |
NGA
0 - 2
COD
74%
17%
9%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
NGA
2 - 0
NIG
84%
12%
4%
|
85 | 55 | 30 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
TAN
0 - 0
NGA
14%
25%
61%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |