Burkina Faso vs Kenya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
15.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
BFA
2 - 0
CIV
25%
27%
48%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
CIV
2 - 0
BFA
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
NIG
0 - 0
BFA
21%
24%
55%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
NIG
0 - 1
BFA
21%
24%
54%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
MWI
3 - 0
BFA
18%
25%
57%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Kenya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
KEN
0 - 0
NAM
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2024 |
ZIM
1 - 1
KEN
32%
26%
42%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
KEN
1 - 1
SSD
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SSD
2 - 0
KEN
9%
16%
75%
|
65 | 45 | 20 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2024 |
KEN
0 - 1
CMR
22%
28%
51%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |