Burkina Faso vs Gabon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
GHA
0 - 1
BFA
64%
23%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 1
BFA
71%
19%
10%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
COD
0 - 0
BFA
57%
23%
20%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
BFA
1 - 0
MTN
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ANG
2 - 1
BFA
37%
28%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Gabon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
BDI
1 - 1
GAB
24%
25%
52%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
GAB
0 - 1
MLI
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
SSD
0 - 1
GAB
7%
12%
81%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
GAB
3 - 0
SSD
67%
21%
13%
|
65 | 47 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2018 |
GAB
0 - 1
ZAM
26%
27%
48%
|
65 | 75 | 10 | 0 |