Burkina Faso vs Burundi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.7%
9.8%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2024 |
BFA
3 - 1
MWI
75%
17%
8%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
SEN
1 - 1
BFA
67%
21%
12%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2024 |
BFA
2 - 2
SLE
70%
19%
12%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2024 |
EGY
2 - 1
BFA
72%
18%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
NIG
1 - 1
BFA
22%
26%
53%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
BDI
0 - 1
SEN
11%
22%
67%
|
56 | 86 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2024 |
MWI
2 - 3
BDI
47%
26%
28%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
SYC
1 - 3
BDI
11%
19%
70%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2024 |
KEN
1 - 1
BDI
54%
26%
21%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
BDI
0 - 0
BOT
39%
27%
33%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |