WC Qual. Africa 1ra y 2da Ronda Final
Global 3-2
Burkina Faso vs Benin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
25.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 1
BFA
35%
26%
39%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
BFA
0 - 0
NGA
24%
28%
48%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
NGA
2 - 0
BFA
76%
17%
8%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2015 |
BFA
1 - 4
MLI
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
BOT
1 - 0
BFA
31%
28%
42%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Benin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
BEN
2 - 1
BFA
35%
26%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
CGO
2 - 1
BEN
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 1
MLI
22%
24%
54%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2015 |
EQG
1 - 1
BEN
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
6 - 1
BEN
72%
19%
9%
|
61 | 82 | 21 | -1 |