WC Qual. Africa 3ra Ronda Final
Global 3-3
Burkina Faso vs Algeria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
30.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
NGA
4 - 1
BFA
75%
17%
8%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
BFA
1 - 0
GAB
43%
25%
32%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
RSA
2 - 0
BFA
62%
23%
15%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
BFA
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2013 |
CGO
0 - 1
BFA
37%
28%
35%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Algeria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2013 |
ALG
1 - 0
MLI
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2013 |
ALG
2 - 2
GUI
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
RWA
0 - 1
ALG
23%
28%
49%
|
79 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2013 |
BEN
1 - 3
ALG
30%
28%
42%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
ALG
2 - 0
BFA
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |