Burkina Faso vs Mali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2004 |
SEN
0 - 0
BFA
75%
16%
9%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2004 |
BFA
0 - 1
GUI
40%
26%
34%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
EGY
1 - 1
BFA
84%
12%
5%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
1 - 0
BFA
77%
16%
7%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
GAB
0 - 0
BFA
48%
25%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Mali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2004 |
KEN
1 - 3
MLI
28%
25%
47%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2004 |
ALG
0 - 2
MLI
60%
22%
18%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 1
MLI
63%
23%
14%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
MLI
2 - 0
GNB
78%
16%
7%
|
76 | 54 | 22 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2003 |
GNB
1 - 2
MLI
17%
23%
60%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | +1 |