Burkina Faso vs Ethiopia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Burkina Faso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
NGA
1 - 1
BFA
78%
15%
7%
|
66 | 86 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2013 |
NIG
0 - 0
BFA
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
CGO
0 - 1
BFA
41%
27%
33%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
BFA
3 - 1
CTA
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 17 | 49 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
CTA
1 - 0
BFA
10%
18%
72%
|
66 | 16 | 50 | 0 |
Matches
Ethiopia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2013 |
ZAM
1 - 1
ETH
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
ETH
1 - 1
TUN
17%
25%
58%
|
62 | 84 | 22 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ETH
2 - 0
SDN
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SDN
5 - 3
ETH
53%
23%
23%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 1
ETH
42%
25%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |