Bulgaria vs USSR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
3.12
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.2%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
2.4%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.8%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.6%
13.6%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
13.6%
11.7%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1957 |
HUN
4 - 1
BGR
93%
5%
2%
|
70 | 91 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1957 |
DEN
1 - 1
BGR
71%
15%
14%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1957 |
NOR
1 - 2
BGR
60%
19%
21%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 1956 |
BGR
3 - 0
IND
68%
16%
16%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1956 |
SUN
2 - 1
BGR
35%
23%
42%
|
68 | 43 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
USSR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 1957 |
SUN
3 - 0
POL
41%
21%
39%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1957 |
SUN
1 - 1
ROU
38%
21%
41%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1956 |
YUG
0 - 1
SUN
95%
4%
2%
|
44 | 84 | 40 | +2 |
| 05 Dec. 1956 |
SUN
2 - 1
BGR
35%
23%
42%
|
43 | 68 | 25 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1956 |
SUN
4 - 0
IDN
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 55 | 20 | +8 |