Bulgaria vs Ukraine analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.7%
5.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1994 |
KWT
2 - 2
BGR
28%
30%
42%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1994 |
OMA
1 - 1
BGR
8%
17%
75%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1994 |
MEX
1 - 1
BGR
58%
25%
17%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1993 |
FRA
1 - 2
BGR
70%
20%
10%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1993 |
BGR
4 - 1
AUT
47%
26%
27%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ukraine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1994 |
UKR
3 - 1
BLR
68%
18%
14%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1994 |
ISR
1 - 0
UKR
65%
19%
16%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1993 |
USA
0 - 1
UKR
60%
21%
19%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1993 |
MEX
2 - 1
UKR
87%
10%
4%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1993 |
USA
1 - 2
UKR
63%
20%
17%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |