Bulgaria vs Sweden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
42.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1998 |
ENG
0 - 0
BGR
71%
19%
10%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1998 |
BGR
0 - 3
POL
52%
24%
24%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 1998 |
ESP
6 - 1
BGR
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 1998 |
NGA
1 - 0
BGR
24%
26%
50%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1998 |
PAR
0 - 0
BGR
41%
26%
33%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sweden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 1998 |
SWE
2 - 1
ENG
36%
28%
36%
|
94 | 97 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1998 |
SWE
1 - 0
RUS
76%
15%
9%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1998 |
SWE
1 - 0
ITA
38%
29%
33%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1998 |
SWE
3 - 0
DEN
51%
26%
23%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1998 |
SWE
0 - 0
FRA
33%
28%
38%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | +1 |