Bulgaria vs Serbia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
49.9%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
LTU
1 - 1
BGR
15%
23%
63%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
HUN
3 - 0
BGR
63%
22%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
BGR
0 - 1
MNE
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
LUX
0 - 0
BGR
17%
23%
61%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2022 |
CYP
0 - 2
BGR
18%
24%
58%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Serbia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
SRB
3 - 2
JOR
79%
14%
7%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2023 |
MNE
0 - 2
SRB
19%
25%
56%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
SRB
2 - 0
LTU
86%
10%
4%
|
87 | 52 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
USA
1 - 2
SRB
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2022 |
SRB
2 - 3
SUI
39%
24%
37%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |