Bulgaria vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
40.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
ALB
1 - 1
BGR
21%
27%
52%
|
89 | 74 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
BGR
3 - 0
LUX
87%
10%
3%
|
89 | 33 | 56 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
NED
2 - 0
BGR
74%
18%
8%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
BGR
0 - 1
WAL
64%
21%
15%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2007 |
BGR
2 - 1
BLR
75%
17%
8%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2007 |
LUX
0 - 2
ROU
11%
21%
68%
|
94 | 34 | 60 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
ROU
1 - 0
NED
30%
26%
44%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2007 |
GER
3 - 1
ROU
68%
19%
14%
|
94 | 97 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
BLR
1 - 3
ROU
17%
24%
59%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2007 |
ROU
2 - 0
TUR
65%
21%
14%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | 0 |