Bulgaria vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
23.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
BGR
1 - 2
ROU
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1981 |
BGR
5 - 2
POR
43%
27%
30%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1981 |
BRD
4 - 0
BGR
88%
9%
2%
|
80 | 94 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
BGR
0 - 0
AUT
38%
29%
33%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1981 |
BRA
3 - 0
BGR
86%
12%
3%
|
80 | 95 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 1982 |
BEL
4 - 1
ROU
59%
25%
16%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1982 |
BGR
1 - 2
ROU
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 1981 |
SUI
0 - 0
ROU
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1981 |
ROU
1 - 2
SUI
79%
14%
8%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1981 |
ROU
0 - 0
HUN
37%
26%
38%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |