Bulgaria vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.7%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
22.6%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1978 |
ROU
2 - 0
BGR
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1978 |
POL
1 - 0
BGR
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1978 |
CSK
0 - 0
BGR
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1978 |
MEX
3 - 0
BGR
58%
24%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
PER
1 - 1
BGR
49%
24%
27%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 1978 |
ROU
0 - 1
SUN
46%
27%
27%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1978 |
ROU
2 - 0
BGR
67%
20%
13%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 1978 |
ARG
2 - 0
ROU
72%
19%
9%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 1978 |
TUR
1 - 1
ROU
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
ROU
4 - 6
YUG
49%
25%
27%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |