Bulgaria vs Romania analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.5%
44.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.8%
4-5
0.4%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.8%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
13.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
BGR
2 - 2
POL
54%
19%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1953 |
BGR
1 - 2
CSK
26%
20%
54%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1953 |
ROU
3 - 1
BGR
64%
17%
20%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1953 |
DDR
0 - 0
BGR
17%
19%
65%
|
61 | 6 | 55 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 1952 |
SUN
2 - 1
BGR
16%
18%
65%
|
62 | 13 | 49 | -1 |
Matches
Romania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jun. 1953 |
ROU
3 - 1
BGR
64%
17%
20%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1953 |
CSK
2 - 0
ROU
72%
15%
13%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
ROU
3 - 1
DDR
90%
7%
3%
|
70 | 6 | 64 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 1952 |
HUN
2 - 1
ROU
86%
9%
6%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 May. 1952 |
ROU
1 - 0
POL
68%
16%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |