Bulgaria vs East Germany analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
89%
Win probability
3.5
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.4%
8-0
0.9%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.2%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.7%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
5.6%
5-0
7.1%
6-1
2.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.1%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.4%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
7.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7.6%
3.3%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 1954 |
POL
2 - 2
BGR
62%
17%
21%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1953 |
CSK
0 - 0
BGR
77%
12%
11%
|
60 | 79 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 1953 |
BGR
1 - 2
ROU
35%
21%
45%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 1953 |
BGR
2 - 2
POL
54%
19%
27%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1953 |
BGR
1 - 2
CSK
26%
20%
54%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
East Germany
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1954 |
DDR
0 - 1
POL
18%
20%
62%
|
7 | 63 | 56 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1954 |
DDR
0 - 1
ROU
27%
20%
53%
|
7 | 71 | 64 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 1953 |
DDR
0 - 0
BGR
17%
19%
65%
|
6 | 61 | 55 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 1952 |
ROU
3 - 1
DDR
90%
7%
3%
|
6 | 70 | 64 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1952 |
POL
3 - 0
DDR
91%
6%
3%
|
6 | 64 | 58 | 0 |