Bulgaria vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
8.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1982 |
BGR
7 - 0
MLT
83%
11%
6%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1982 |
BGR
2 - 2
DDR
31%
28%
41%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1982 |
SUI
3 - 2
BGR
47%
24%
29%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1982 |
FRA
0 - 0
BGR
72%
19%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1982 |
ARG
2 - 1
BGR
80%
15%
5%
|
79 | 91 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1982 |
NOR
3 - 1
YUG
20%
25%
56%
|
63 | 88 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1982 |
WAL
1 - 0
NOR
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 83 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1982 |
NOR
1 - 0
SWE
24%
23%
53%
|
62 | 83 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 1982 |
NOR
2 - 1
DEN
31%
25%
44%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1982 |
NOR
2 - 4
BRD
12%
21%
67%
|
61 | 94 | 33 | 0 |