Bulgaria vs Norway analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
21.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 1957 |
BGR
1 - 1
POL
65%
18%
17%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1957 |
BGR
1 - 2
HUN
10%
15%
75%
|
68 | 91 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 1957 |
BGR
0 - 4
SUN
75%
14%
12%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 1957 |
HUN
4 - 1
BGR
93%
5%
2%
|
70 | 91 | 21 | -1 |
| 26 May. 1957 |
DEN
1 - 1
BGR
71%
15%
14%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Norway
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 1957 |
SWE
5 - 2
NOR
84%
10%
6%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1957 |
NOR
2 - 2
DEN
55%
21%
24%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1957 |
FIN
0 - 4
NOR
46%
21%
33%
|
69 | 48 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 1957 |
ISL
0 - 3
NOR
51%
20%
29%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 1957 |
NOR
0 - 2
DEN
56%
21%
24%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |