Bulgaria vs Malta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.8%
1-0
14%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.6%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.1%
3.8%
Win probability
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
BGR
0 - 1
UKR
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
CZE
0 - 0
BGR
66%
20%
14%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
BGR
1 - 1
DEN
27%
26%
47%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
BGR
1 - 0
ARM
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
BGR
2 - 2
ITA
22%
27%
51%
|
86 | 94 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Malta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
MLT
0 - 0
NIR
17%
24%
59%
|
49 | 78 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
LIE
0 - 1
MLT
21%
21%
57%
|
49 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
CZE
3 - 1
MLT
84%
11%
4%
|
50 | 90 | 40 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2012 |
ITA
2 - 0
MLT
81%
15%
5%
|
50 | 94 | 44 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
MLT
0 - 1
ARM
22%
25%
54%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | -1 |