Bulgaria vs North Macedonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.5%
Win probability
3.26
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.8%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.8%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.8%
5-0
6.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
9.2%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.9%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.8%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
8.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
8.2%
3.2%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
1.2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
2.6%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
SVK
0 - 0
BGR
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
ENG
1 - 0
BGR
68%
20%
12%
|
87 | 94 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
GER
3 - 1
BGR
78%
14%
8%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
GEO
2 - 1
BGR
23%
25%
52%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1995 |
BGR
3 - 0
ALB
88%
9%
3%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
North Macedonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
MKD
3 - 0
LIE
88%
10%
2%
|
70 | 11 | 59 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1996 |
MKD
1 - 0
MLT
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1995 |
ESP
3 - 0
MKD
94%
5%
1%
|
70 | 94 | 24 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1995 |
CYP
1 - 1
MKD
39%
25%
35%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 1995 |
MKD
1 - 2
ARM
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |