Bulgaria vs Luxembourg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.2%
+6
2%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
15.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.2%
+3
18.4%
2-0
19.1%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
24.4%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
<0%
+1
22.7%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
0.9%
3-3
0.1%
0
12.6%
3.4%
Win probability
0.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2016 |
DEN
4 - 0
BGR
62%
22%
16%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2016 |
JPN
7 - 2
BGR
64%
21%
15%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
MKD
0 - 2
BGR
31%
28%
41%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
POR
0 - 1
BGR
73%
18%
9%
|
84 | 91 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BGR
2 - 0
AZE
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 64 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Luxembourg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
LVA
3 - 1
LUX
80%
15%
5%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
LUX
1 - 3
NGA
14%
26%
60%
|
42 | 85 | 43 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
LUX
0 - 2
ALB
12%
22%
66%
|
42 | 76 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
LUX
0 - 3
BIH
7%
16%
77%
|
43 | 82 | 39 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
LUX
0 - 2
POR
7%
18%
76%
|
43 | 91 | 48 | 0 |