Bulgaria vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
28.7%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.7%
34.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1994 |
BGR
2 - 1
GER
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1994 |
MEX
1 - 1
BGR
58%
24%
18%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 1994 |
ARG
0 - 2
BGR
65%
21%
13%
|
86 | 92 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1994 |
BGR
4 - 0
GRC
66%
21%
13%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Jun. 1994 |
NGA
3 - 0
BGR
38%
28%
34%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 1994 |
ITA
2 - 1
ESP
52%
26%
22%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 1994 |
NGA
1 - 2
ITA
26%
30%
44%
|
95 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1994 |
ITA
1 - 1
MEX
62%
24%
14%
|
95 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 1994 |
ITA
1 - 0
NOR
67%
21%
12%
|
95 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1994 |
ITA
0 - 1
IRL
64%
23%
13%
|
96 | 89 | 7 | -1 |