Bulgaria vs Israel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 1965 |
POL
1 - 1
BGR
59%
21%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
BGR
4 - 1
TUR
51%
22%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1965 |
GRC
1 - 2
BGR
47%
22%
31%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 1964 |
TUR
0 - 0
BGR
53%
23%
25%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
BGR
0 - 0
SUN
46%
24%
29%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Israel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 1965 |
BEL
1 - 0
ISR
66%
18%
16%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1965 |
ISR
0 - 1
NED
50%
20%
30%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1964 |
ISR
0 - 1
DEN
49%
22%
29%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1964 |
ISR
2 - 0
YUG
34%
24%
43%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 1964 |
ISR
2 - 1
KOR
66%
18%
17%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |