Bulgaria vs Northern Ireland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
15.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 1978 |
DEN
2 - 2
BGR
53%
22%
25%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
ITA
1 - 0
BGR
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1978 |
DDR
2 - 2
BGR
71%
19%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1978 |
BGR
1 - 1
ROU
51%
26%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 1978 |
ROU
2 - 0
BGR
67%
20%
13%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 1978 |
NIR
2 - 1
DEN
46%
24%
30%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1978 |
IRL
0 - 0
NIR
54%
23%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1978 |
WAL
1 - 0
NIR
56%
23%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1978 |
ENG
1 - 0
NIR
84%
12%
4%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1978 |
SCO
1 - 1
NIR
76%
17%
7%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | 0 |