Bulgaria vs England analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
52.8%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.2%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1999 |
POL
2 - 0
BGR
50%
26%
24%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1999 |
SVK
2 - 0
BGR
35%
26%
40%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1999 |
LUX
0 - 2
BGR
11%
20%
69%
|
88 | 41 | 47 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
BEL
0 - 1
BGR
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 1999 |
BGR
2 - 0
SVK
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
England
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 1999 |
ENG
0 - 0
SWE
55%
25%
20%
|
97 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1999 |
HUN
1 - 1
ENG
19%
27%
55%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1999 |
ENG
3 - 1
POL
67%
21%
12%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1999 |
ENG
0 - 2
FRA
40%
28%
32%
|
97 | 98 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1998 |
ENG
2 - 0
CZE
85%
12%
4%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |