Bulgaria vs Hungary analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.9%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.4%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
56.3%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.7%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1950 |
BGR
0 - 1
POL
54%
20%
26%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1950 |
BGR
1 - 2
CSK
27%
19%
54%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
ALB
2 - 1
BGR
60%
19%
22%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1949 |
BGR
0 - 0
ALB
59%
20%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
HUN
5 - 0
BGR
87%
8%
5%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Hungary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
HUN
4 - 3
AUT
73%
14%
13%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1950 |
HUN
12 - 0
ALB
89%
7%
4%
|
85 | 65 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1950 |
POL
2 - 5
HUN
29%
20%
50%
|
85 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1950 |
AUT
5 - 3
HUN
51%
20%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1950 |
HUN
5 - 0
CSK
78%
12%
10%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |