Bulgaria vs Netherlands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.5%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.9%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1974 |
BGR
1 - 1
URU
68%
18%
14%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1974 |
SWE
0 - 0
BGR
73%
15%
12%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1974 |
BGR
0 - 1
ENG
33%
26%
41%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 May. 1974 |
BGR
6 - 1
PRK
87%
9%
4%
|
83 | 45 | 38 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1974 |
BGR
5 - 1
TUR
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Netherlands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 1974 |
NED
0 - 0
SWE
53%
22%
25%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 1974 |
URU
0 - 2
NED
60%
21%
20%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Jun. 1974 |
NED
0 - 0
ROU
61%
22%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1974 |
NED
4 - 1
ARG
43%
27%
31%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1974 |
NED
1 - 1
AUT
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |