Bulgaria vs Greece analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
13.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 1971 |
FRA
2 - 1
BGR
54%
23%
24%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1971 |
ROU
1 - 1
BGR
46%
25%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1971 |
HUN
2 - 0
BGR
83%
12%
5%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1971 |
BRD
3 - 1
BGR
78%
14%
7%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Jun. 1971 |
NOR
1 - 4
BGR
31%
24%
45%
|
81 | 65 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Greece
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1971 |
GRC
0 - 1
MEX
34%
24%
43%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1971 |
MEX
1 - 1
GRC
68%
18%
14%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 1971 |
GRC
2 - 0
MLT
63%
18%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 May. 1971 |
SUI
1 - 0
GRC
63%
19%
19%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 1971 |
ENG
3 - 0
GRC
87%
10%
4%
|
69 | 92 | 23 | 0 |