Bulgaria vs Georgia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
21.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
BGR
1 - 1
MKD
51%
25%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
HRV
2 - 1
BGR
75%
16%
8%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
QAT
2 - 1
BGR
58%
22%
20%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
CHE
4 - 0
BGR
79%
14%
7%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
UKR
1 - 1
BGR
63%
22%
15%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Georgia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2022 |
GEO
4 - 0
GIB
76%
16%
8%
|
74 | 40 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2022 |
ALB
0 - 0
GEO
42%
27%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
BIH
0 - 1
GEO
62%
21%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2021 |
GEO
1 - 0
UZB
34%
27%
39%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2021 |
GEO
2 - 0
SWE
11%
21%
68%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | +1 |