Bulgaria vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
32%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
FIN
2 - 0
BGR
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
BGR
1 - 3
HUN
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
WAL
1 - 0
BGR
53%
25%
22%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
BGR
1 - 1
IRL
36%
28%
36%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2020 |
BGR
0 - 1
BLR
61%
23%
17%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
IRL
0 - 0
WAL
52%
26%
22%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
ENG
3 - 0
WAL
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 93 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
WAL
1 - 0
BGR
53%
25%
22%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2020 |
FIN
0 - 1
WAL
42%
27%
31%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
WAL
2 - 0
HUN
46%
26%
28%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |