Bulgaria vs Wales analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
UKR
3 - 0
BGR
53%
24%
22%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
SUI
3 - 1
BGR
56%
24%
20%
|
88 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
BGR
0 - 3
ENG
21%
25%
54%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
BLR
1 - 0
BGR
34%
27%
40%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
MNE
1 - 1
BGR
22%
25%
54%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Wales
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2011 |
WAL
2 - 0
SUI
29%
27%
44%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2011 |
ENG
1 - 0
WAL
82%
13%
5%
|
85 | 97 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2011 |
WAL
2 - 1
MNE
74%
17%
10%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2011 |
WAL
1 - 2
AUS
34%
29%
37%
|
86 | 90 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2011 |
WAL
2 - 0
NIR
55%
26%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |