EC Qualifying Etapas finales Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
Bulgaria vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
29.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1963 |
DDR
1 - 1
BGR
35%
22%
44%
|
75 | 43 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1963 |
BGR
1 - 0
ALB
58%
20%
22%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
ALB
0 - 1
BGR
46%
22%
33%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
BGR
1 - 0
CSK
38%
24%
38%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1963 |
BGR
1 - 0
POR
60%
19%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1963 |
CSK
4 - 0
FRA
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
FRA
2 - 3
BRA
32%
22%
46%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1963 |
NED
1 - 0
FRA
50%
21%
28%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1963 |
FRA
5 - 2
ENG
32%
22%
47%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 1963 |
ESP
0 - 0
FRA
77%
14%
10%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |