Bulgaria vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
BGR
3 - 1
FIN
81%
12%
7%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 1961 |
FIN
0 - 2
BGR
36%
22%
42%
|
74 | 41 | 33 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
FRA
3 - 0
BGR
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1960 |
BGR
2 - 1
TUR
56%
21%
23%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1960 |
BGR
2 - 1
GER
25%
22%
53%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1961 |
BEL
3 - 0
FRA
43%
22%
35%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1961 |
FRA
5 - 1
FIN
87%
8%
4%
|
80 | 43 | 37 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
ESP
2 - 0
FRA
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1961 |
FRA
1 - 1
BEL
75%
14%
11%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
FRA
3 - 0
BGR
73%
15%
12%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |