Bulgaria vs France analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.7%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
35.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
BGR
1 - 0
SUN
58%
19%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 1959 |
SUN
1 - 1
BGR
43%
21%
36%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 31 May. 1959 |
YUG
2 - 0
BGR
83%
11%
7%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1959 |
BGR
3 - 2
NED
48%
21%
31%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
GER
3 - 0
BGR
81%
11%
7%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
France
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1959 |
FRA
2 - 2
BEL
73%
15%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1958 |
GRC
1 - 1
FRA
38%
23%
40%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1958 |
FRA
2 - 2
ITA
47%
23%
31%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1958 |
FRA
2 - 2
GER
44%
22%
34%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1958 |
AUT
1 - 2
FRA
66%
17%
17%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |