Bulgaria vs Finland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.2%
3-0
10%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.8%
7.6%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1981 |
BGR
1 - 0
NOR
80%
13%
8%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1981 |
POR
1 - 1
BGR
62%
24%
14%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1981 |
YUG
2 - 1
BGR
76%
16%
8%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1981 |
PER
1 - 2
BGR
57%
22%
21%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 1981 |
BOL
1 - 3
BGR
36%
25%
40%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Finland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1981 |
FIN
2 - 1
SWE
17%
20%
63%
|
56 | 83 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1980 |
URU
6 - 0
FIN
74%
16%
10%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 1980 |
BOL
2 - 2
FIN
69%
19%
13%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 1980 |
BOL
3 - 0
FIN
67%
20%
13%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 1980 |
FIN
0 - 2
AUT
19%
24%
57%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | 0 |