Bulgaria vs Estonia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15%
7.2%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
BGR
3 - 0
LTU
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
BGR
2 - 2
BEL
36%
25%
39%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
BGR
2 - 0
ALB
76%
16%
7%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
EST
0 - 0
BGR
26%
26%
48%
|
89 | 71 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2003 |
SCG
1 - 2
BGR
29%
26%
45%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Estonia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2003 |
EST
1 - 2
POL
16%
23%
61%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
EST
0 - 0
LVA
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2003 |
EST
1 - 5
LTU
48%
25%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2003 |
EST
0 - 1
CRO
21%
25%
54%
|
73 | 92 | 19 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
EST
2 - 0
AND
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | +1 |