Bulgaria vs Egypt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.1%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
13.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1960 |
BGR
3 - 0
TUR
59%
20%
21%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 1960 |
BGR
2 - 0
DDR
77%
13%
10%
|
72 | 22 | 50 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 1960 |
POL
4 - 0
BGR
60%
19%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Jun. 1960 |
BGR
2 - 0
DDR
77%
13%
10%
|
73 | 22 | 51 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1960 |
BGR
4 - 1
BEL
54%
21%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Egypt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 1960 |
YUG
6 - 1
EGY
90%
7%
4%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 1960 |
GHA
2 - 2
EGY
51%
20%
29%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1960 |
EGY
0 - 3
BRA
29%
23%
48%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1960 |
EGY
1 - 3
BRA
29%
23%
48%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1960 |
EGY
0 - 5
BRA
30%
23%
47%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |