Bulgaria vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
18.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 1977 |
TUR
2 - 0
BGR
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
CYP
1 - 2
BGR
27%
23%
50%
|
81 | 57 | 24 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1977 |
BRA
1 - 0
BGR
79%
15%
6%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1977 |
ALG
1 - 1
BGR
26%
23%
51%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
ROU
3 - 2
BGR
59%
23%
18%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1977 |
SEN
2 - 3
DEN
30%
22%
48%
|
76 | 60 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1977 |
GAM
1 - 4
DEN
34%
23%
44%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1976 |
POR
1 - 0
DEN
62%
20%
18%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1976 |
DEN
5 - 0
CYP
75%
14%
11%
|
76 | 59 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1976 |
DEN
0 - 1
ITA
27%
28%
46%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | 0 |