Bulgaria vs Denmark analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
27.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 1959 |
ROU
1 - 0
BGR
58%
21%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1959 |
BGR
1 - 1
YUG
36%
23%
41%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1959 |
BGR
1 - 0
FRA
41%
23%
36%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
BGR
1 - 0
SUN
58%
19%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 1959 |
SUN
1 - 1
BGR
43%
21%
36%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Denmark
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1959 |
GRC
1 - 3
DEN
38%
21%
41%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1959 |
CSK
5 - 1
DEN
66%
18%
17%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 1959 |
DEN
4 - 0
FIN
87%
9%
4%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1959 |
DEN
2 - 2
CSK
57%
20%
23%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1959 |
NOR
2 - 4
DEN
51%
22%
28%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | +1 |