Bulgaria vs Croatia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
30.1%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
BEL
0 - 2
BGR
64%
22%
14%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
BGR
2 - 2
GER
26%
25%
48%
|
88 | 96 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2002 |
MEX
1 - 0
BGR
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
ECU
3 - 0
BGR
45%
26%
29%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
CRO
0 - 0
BGR
70%
18%
12%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Croatia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
CRO
0 - 0
EST
89%
9%
3%
|
91 | 69 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2002 |
CRO
1 - 1
WAL
73%
17%
10%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2002 |
ECU
1 - 0
CRO
25%
25%
50%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2002 |
ITA
1 - 2
CRO
78%
15%
7%
|
91 | 99 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2002 |
CRO
0 - 1
MEX
46%
25%
29%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |