Bulgaria vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
38.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
BGR
2 - 0
ALB
76%
16%
7%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2003 |
EST
0 - 0
BGR
26%
26%
48%
|
89 | 70 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2003 |
SCG
1 - 2
BGR
29%
26%
45%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2002 |
ESP
1 - 0
BGR
77%
16%
7%
|
89 | 98 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
BGR
2 - 1
AND
94%
5%
1%
|
89 | 56 | 33 | 0 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2003 |
BEL
3 - 1
POL
55%
24%
21%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2003 |
CRO
4 - 0
BEL
38%
26%
36%
|
93 | 91 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2003 |
ALG
1 - 3
BEL
20%
24%
57%
|
93 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2002 |
EST
0 - 1
BEL
16%
22%
62%
|
93 | 69 | 24 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2002 |
AND
0 - 1
BEL
8%
17%
75%
|
93 | 56 | 37 | 0 |