Bulgaria vs Belgium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
28%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bulgaria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 1965 |
BGR
3 - 2
DDR
59%
20%
21%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1965 |
BGR
4 - 0
ISR
57%
22%
21%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1965 |
POL
1 - 1
BGR
59%
21%
21%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
BGR
4 - 1
TUR
51%
22%
28%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1965 |
GRC
1 - 2
BGR
47%
22%
31%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Belgium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 1965 |
BRA
5 - 0
BEL
83%
11%
6%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 1965 |
BEL
1 - 0
ISR
66%
18%
16%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1965 |
BEL
0 - 0
POL
62%
19%
19%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1965 |
IRL
0 - 2
BEL
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 1964 |
BEL
3 - 0
FRA
56%
21%
23%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | +1 |